When Will It Get Cool Again

And so When Does It Usually Cool Off
Across West Fundamental and Southwest Florida in the Autumn?

Astronomically speaking autumn began at 3:21 PM EDT Wednesday September 22, but beyond West Primal and Southwest Florida the temperatures will remain annihilation but fall-like. Nosotros volition continue to accept rather high humidity with dew points in the middle 60'due south to middle seventy'southward, along with high temperatures in the mid 80's to lower 90'due south.

During almost years we do not run into the outset shot of cooler drier air until the center of Oct, admitting commonly is rather short lived lasting only a mean solar day or 2, with the real cool down not occurring until Nov. A good manner to examine the timing of the outset cool down is past looking at overnight low temperatures. The overnight low temperatures are highly dependent on a few factors, non the least being the amount of moisture in the air nearly the ground measured by looking at the dew indicate, the amount of cloud embrace, and winds. In general overnight low temperatures cannot autumn below the dew point, therefore if the dew points are withal in the middle 60'south to middle lxx's so the overnight low temperatures volition too be in the mid lx'due south to mid 70's unless a cool front moves through during the dark. So to see when the first cool front end moves beyond the region we'll take a look at the long-term (since consistent records began) average dates when low temperatures autumn below dissimilar thresholds at some locations.

Examining the tables and maps below nosotros do see that the long-term boilerplate date of the first real absurd down appears to exist during mid-October. This is when temperatures generally fall into the mid 50's across inland portions of the Nature Coast and beneath sixty degrees elsewhere beyond West Cardinal and Southwest Florida. The only exception is nigh the coast where the water keeps temperatures higher and these areas take longer to fall beneath threescore degrees, as seen at St. Petersburg.

Click on a "Site" proper name below for detailed graphs at each location.
Left click an image to magnify, click a second time to return to original size.
Appointment of Showtime Low Temperature < 60°F
Records
Site Earliest Latest Boilerplate 2020 Began
Arcadia Sep nineteen 1910 November 23 2015 Oct 17 November 03 1900
Archbold Sep 08 1997 Nov 23 2015 Oct 11 Nov 03 1969
Bartow Sep 19 1981* Nov 14 1946 October 16 Nov 03 1892
Brooksville Sep 09 1997 Nov 04 1950* Oct 10 Sep thirty 1892
Bushnell Sep 15 1976* Nov 03 2019 October 07 October 01 1948
Chiefland 5 ESE Sep 09 1963 October 25 1959 Sep 29 Sep xxx 1956
Fort Myers Oct 01 1920 Dec 03 1986 October 28 Nov 03 1902
Inverness 3 SE Sep eleven 1997 Nov 03 2019 Oct 08 Oct 01 1948
Lakeland Sep 19 1981 Nov 14 2015* Oct 19 November 03 1915
Mountain Lake Sep 19 1981 November fifteen 2003 Oct 14 Nov 02 1935
Myakka Rvr St Pk Sep 19 1981 Nov 23 2015 October sixteen Nov 03 1956
Plant City Sep xix 1981 Nov nineteen 1911 Oct 13 Oct 31 1893
Punta Gorda Oct 02 2001* Nov 26 1948 Oct 24 Nov 03 1914
Sarasota-Bradenton Sep 19 1981 Nov 23 2015 Oct 19 Nov 03 1911
St. Leo Sep 19 1981 Nov 10 2019 Oct thirteen Oct 31 1895
St. Petersburg October 01 1920 Dec 04 1986 October 30 Dec 01 1914
Tampa Sep 19 1981 Nov 23 2015 Oct xix November 02 1890
Tarpon Springs Sep 19 1981* Nov 15 1919 October 15 Oct 31 1892
Venice October 02 2001* Nov 23 2015 October 22 November 02 1955
Wauchula Sep nineteen 1981 Nov 23 2015 Oct 17 Nov 03 1933
Winter Haven Sep 19 1981 November fourteen 2015* Oct 20 Nov 02 1941
*Last of Multiple Occurrences
Engagement of Start Depression Temperature < 55°F
Records
Site Earliest Latest Average 2020 Began
Arcadia Oct 01 1920 December 04 1986 Oct 27 Nov 03 1900
Archbold Oct 02 1976 Dec xix 2015 Oct 23 Nov 27 1969
Bartow Oct 01 1920 Nov 25 1922 October 26 Nov 03 1892
Brooksville Sep 27 2008 November fifteen 1936 Oct 20 Oct 01 1892
Bushnell Sep 27 1956 Nov xiv 2015 Oct 17 Nov 01 1948
Chiefland 5 ESE Sep 17 1999 November 01 2019 Oct 10 Oct 01 1956
Fort Myers October ten 2000 Dec xix 2015 Nov 07 Dec 01 1902
Inverness three SE Sep xx 1981 Nov 14 2015 Oct 17 Oct 02 1948
Lakeland Oct 01 1920 Nov 25 1948* October 28 November 03 1915
Mountain Lake October 02 1976 November 22 2015* Oct 24 Nov 03 1935
Myakka Rvr St Pk Oct 02 1984 Nov 23 2015 Oct 27 Nov 03 1956
Constitute City Oct 03 1929 Nov 22 1986 Oct 23 November 13 1893
Punta Gorda Oct 10 2000 Dec 12 1958 November 03 Nov 03 1914
Sarasota-Bradenton Oct 01 1920 Dec 04 1986 Oct 29 Dec 01 1911
St. Leo Sep xx 1981 Nov 23 1922 October 23 November 03 1895
Petrograd Oct 01 1920 Dec 25 2001 Nov 12 December 01 1914
Tampa Sep 22 1897 Dec 05 1919 Oct xxx Dec 01 1890
Tarpon Springs Sep 22 1897 Nov 25 1922 Oct 25 Nov 02 1892
Venice October 05 1974 December 03 1986 Nov 02 November 03 1955
Wauchula October 07 2010 November 25 1948 Oct 27 Nov 03 1933
Wintertime Oasis Oct 05 1974 Dec 03 1986 Oct 29 Dec 01 1941
*Terminal of Multiple Occurrences
Date of Start Low Temperature < 50°F
Records
Site Earliest Latest Average 2020 Began
Arcadia Oct xiv 1977 December 11 1994 Nov 04 Dec 01 1900
Archbold Oct 08 2010 Jan 05 2016 Nov 01 December 02 1969
Bartow Oct 01 1920 Dec 16 1998 Nov 04 Dec 01 1892
Brooksville Oct 01 2009 December 04 1905 Oct 30 October 31 1892
Bushnell Oct 02 2011* Nov 23 2015 Oct 25 November 03 1948
Chiefland 5 ESE Sep twenty 1981 Nov 14 2015 October xvi November 03 1956
Fort Myers Oct 21 1989 Jan xviii 2016 Nov 22 December 01 1902
Inverness 3 SE Oct 02 2011* Nov 25 1959 October 25 November 18 1948
Lakeland October 01 1920 December fifteen 1998* Nov 07 Dec 01 1915
Mountain Lake October 08 1987 Dec 05 1946 November 02 Dec 01 1935
Myakka Rvr St Pk Oct 08 1987 Dec 15 1998 November 04 December 02 1956
Plant City Oct 04 1929 Dec 04 1986 Oct 31 Dec 01 1893
Punta Gorda Oct 18 1977 Jan x 1932 Nov 14 Dec 01 1914
Sarasota-Bradenton October xiv 1977 Dec 19 2015 November 09 December 01 1911
St. Leo Oct 07 1932 December 04 1986 November 01 November 03 1895
St. petersburg Oct 24 1937 Jan 10 1932 Nov 26 Dec 02 1914
Tampa Oct 11 1906 Dec 21 2001 November ten December 01 1890
Tarpon Springs Oct 02 1920 Dec 05 1919 Nov 04 Nov 03 1892
Venice Oct xviii 1977 Dec 19 2015 Nov 12 Dec 01 1955
Wauchula Oct 14 1977 Dec 19 2015 November 04 Dec 01 1933
Winter Haven Oct 14 1977 Dec xvi 1998 Nov 08 Dec 01 1941
*Terminal of Multiple Occurrences
Date of Earliest Freeze (≤ 32°F)
Records
Site Temp Appointment Began
Arcadia 32° Nov xi 1956 1900
Archbold 30° November 15 1995* 1969
Bartow 30° November 12 1913 1892
Brooksville 29° October 29 2008* 1892
Bushnell 30° November 01 1954 1948
Chiefland 5 ESE 32° Oct 21 1989 1956
Fort Myers 32° December 10 1917 1902
Inverness three SE 31° Oct 29 2008 1948
Lakeland 27° Nov 16 1940 1915
Mount Lake 26° Nov 16 1940 1935
Myakka Rvr St Pk 32° November 24 1956 1956
Found City 32° Nov 04 1966 1893
Punta Gorda 28° November 25 1970 1914
Sarasota-Bradenton 27° Nov 17 1940 1911
St. Leo 31° Nov fifteen 1969 1895
St. Petersburg 32° December 07 1937 1914
Tampa 31° Nov 16 1940 1890
Tarpon Springs 31° Nov 16 1940 1892
Venice 29° Nov 25 1970 1955
Wauchula 29° Nov 11 1956 1933
Winter Haven 31° Nov 24 1970 1941
*Final of Multiple Occurrences
First Date of Low Temperature at or below 60 degrees Fahrenheit
First Date of Low Temperature at or below 55 degrees Fahrenheit
First Date of Low Temperature at or below 50 degrees Fahrenheit
Earleist Low Temperature at or below 32 degrees Fahrenheit


Another way to look at when it may cool down is to have a await at the graphs of the average (based on 1991-2020 Normals) and tape depression temperatures during the fall at sites beyond the region. We tin can encounter from the graphs below that during some years the first cool down has occurred equally early as mid-September when temperatures have fallen into the upper 40's across northern portions of the Nature Coast to the lower lx'south south. Notwithstanding, looking at the boilerplate lows we see that for the most part it takes until November earlier low temperatures fall into the mid fifty's northward to lower 60'southward south on a consistent ground. As well on these graphs we can see that on a few rare occasions there has been a freeze across portions of the Nature Coast during the 2nd half of October, with areas further southward during November.


All images on this page can exist magnified by left clicking on them, and resized dorsum to original size with a 2nd left click.

Chiefland 5 ESE data

(Dorsum to Tables and Maps)

Inverness 3 SE data

(Back to Tables and Maps and Maps)

Bushnell 1 E data

(Back to Tables and Maps)

Brooksville Area data

(Back to Tables and Maps)

St Leo data

(Back to Tables and Maps)

Tarpon Springs data

(Back to Tables and Maps)

Tampa Area data

(Dorsum to Tables and Maps)

St Petersburg Area data

(Back to Tables and Maps)

Plant City data

(Back to Tables and Maps)

Lakeland Area data

(Back to Tables and Maps)

Winter Haven Area data

(Back to Tables and Maps)

Bartow Area data

(Dorsum to Tables and Maps)

Mountain Lake data

(Back to Tables and Maps)

Sarasota-Bradenton Area data

(Back to Tables and Maps)

Myakka River State Park data

(Back to Tables and Maps)

Venice data

(Back to Tables and Maps)

Wauchula 2 N data

(Dorsum to Tables and Maps)

Arcadia data

(Dorsum to Tables and Maps)

Archbold Bio Stn data

(Back to Tables and Maps)

Punta Gorda Area data

(Back to Tables and Maps)

Fort Myers Area data

(Back to Tables and Maps)

As a side note, for those who miss or would similar to see where the foliage has begun to change color across the U.s., visit the USDA Forest Service spider web site listed below.

        https://www.fs.usda.gov/visit/autumn-colors

And for an thought of the approximate time of peak fall foliage see the image below:

Peak Fall Color Map

For more local climate information, visit our web site at

        https://www.weather.gov/tampabay

and become to the Climate and Past Weather drop down carte above the weather condition forecast graphics.

englishwaakeen.blogspot.com

Source: https://www.weather.gov/tbw/whencool

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